China has been once again grabbing headlines this month. The country, arguably the “patient zero” for COVID-19, has not been able to provide fiscal relief to its economy after the lethal pandemic struck. On the other hand, several other nations in the West and even its own neighbours (read: India) have apparently rejuvenated their economies …
The Asian economies of China and Japan are stealing the global limelight this month. China has been in the midst of an economic cycle turn: despite the low base of just 3% real GDP growth in CY22, China’s 5% growth target for CY23 is unlikely to be achieved. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives …
In every region, apart from monetary policy, the current economic picture is the same – that of continuing soft manufacturing PMIs (contraction in manufacturing activity) but strong services PMIs (expansion in business activity). back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives April 2023 SHARE Facebook Linkedin PRINT ARCHIVE
Fresh concerns over the regional U.S. banking sector emanated over the last week. While on a stand-alone basis, the impact on the U.S. economy from a deposit rout in a bank should not be as debilitating as covered earlier – however, perception needs to be managed. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives April 2023 …
Fresh concerns over the regional U.S. banking sector emanated over the last week. While on a stand-alone basis, the impact on the U.S. economy from a deposit rout in a bank should not be as debilitating as covered earlier – however, perception needs to be managed. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives April 2023 …
Banking crises can occur for three reasons related to the balance sheet: the assets don’t get you enough, your liabilities bail out on you, or the two don’t get along (ALM). In 2023, rampant deposit routs in the U.S. sparked a severe contagion. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives April 2023 SHARE Facebook Linkedin …
Consensus trade towards the end of CY22, almost round the world was that theworst is behind us, and the Fed should likely tone down and meander to atleast a pause if not pivot. However, inflation in the U.S. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives March 2023 SHARE Facebook Linkedin PRINT ARCHIVE
The common narrative for CY22 was “India de-coupled”. This time around also the same thread seems to be continuing for this short span of CY23TD. However, this time India is at the receiving end as idiosyncratic volatility (related specifically to a large and arguably, systematically important Indian conglomerate) rocked her boat. back to Market Vault …
The inflation cycle HAS to see some downtrend going forward, central banks HAVEto withdraw at some point of time, asset prices HAVE to recover in the future: Thecommon thread among these three cycles is that our spatial awareness is fairly highbut the timing and degree of overlap between them isn’t back to Market Vault Monthly …
COVID-19 strained supply chains world-over and the Russia-Ukraine war has apparently, delivered the knock-out punch. Globalized supply chains, frequently built with Just-In-Time minimalistic inventories seems to have more than met its match. back to Market Vault Monthly Investment Perspectives December 2022 SHARE Facebook Linkedin PRINT ARCHIVE
